The Disney Refugee wants you to WIN A PRIZE!

I am going to apply some non-sensical maths to throw in a guess.

I am thinking it is $476.07. So my guess is $476.

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$666.66

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NICE! :smiling_imp:

I’m on the edge of my seat waiting for more HHN announcements!!

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We have one of those office water bottles that we collect coins in. Back in the early days of Disney travel my boys and I would sit on the floor in my bedroom counting and rolling the coins before our trips. I loved doing that!

I’m going to guess $327

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I’m going to have to find your trip reports and read them.

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I went in early February - before everyone started truly started “getting back out there” and again the last week of April before schools got out.

Here are those two Trip Reports - Enjoy!!

I’ll be going back in August, Sept. and December! I won’t be solo anymore now that my family has realized all the fun they’ve been missing!!

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Hmm 52 pounds. Im late to the party but thats a bit more than I expected. Let me ponder

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Okay, WAG here but i just rolled about $450 and guessing by the weight i think we’re close.

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$550

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542.23 :sweat_smile::upside_down_face:

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$574.34

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On the one hand, if you’re right, you win a sweet bag. On the other hand, you possibly get to meet me in the afterlife.

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I was going to ask how often you find yourself picking up pennies off the ground. Only half serious.

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My guess is $624.

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OK Is it Monday yet?

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Ahem…

:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

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I actually read through some of each of them, just none of them in full.

I often open UOR stuff by mistake because of how I have the board settings arranged - I see anything that is posted most recently first, not separated by category.

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This is fun. Here’s my methodology:

Used ‘total coins’ (green cell) as independent variable and adjusted until total weight (blue cell) was 51.9 lbs (allowing for 0.3 lb container wt), while letting formulas do their job to keep the expected ratio of q:d:n:p constant and then calculating value. I don’t know enough of Darkmite’s use of cash to deviate from this expected number much in either direction. And the picture of the full jar seems like a typical distribution.

The issue now is that there are so many outstanding guesses very close to my number. Would I rather have a taller narrower section of the area under the bell curve or a wider but shortening section? Not going to do that calculus, but will stay close to my result and just guess there’s a few more quarters and fewer pennies than the expected numbers and go with:

$688

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:nerd_face:

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Since a pound of dimes, a pound of nickels, and a pound of quarters all are almost exactly $20, the main point of variability is what percentage of coins ends up being pennies.

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