I actually read through some of each of them, just none of them in full.
I often open UOR stuff by mistake because of how I have the board settings arranged - I see anything that is posted most recently first, not separated by category.
Used ‘total coins’ (green cell) as independent variable and adjusted until total weight (blue cell) was 51.9 lbs (allowing for 0.3 lb container wt), while letting formulas do their job to keep the expected ratio of q:d:n:p constant and then calculating value. I don’t know enough of Darkmite’s use of cash to deviate from this expected number much in either direction. And the picture of the full jar seems like a typical distribution.
The issue now is that there are so many outstanding guesses very close to my number. Would I rather have a taller narrower section of the area under the bell curve or a wider but shortening section? Not going to do that calculus, but will stay close to my result and just guess there’s a few more quarters and fewer pennies than the expected numbers and go with:
Since a pound of dimes, a pound of nickels, and a pound of quarters all are almost exactly $20, the main point of variability is what percentage of coins ends up being pennies.
I’m counting on pennies being a higher proportion of the jar than normal, because if in fact @darkmite2 did pick up lots of change from the ground, they should be mostly pennies.
I’m wondering though if the halves and dollars will balance that out.
@joelbruick - Literally, any & every time I see one!! No joke! It’s the old “Find a penny, pick it up and then all day you’ll have good luck!” song/ritual have known since I was a kid!
Sometimes, my family would giggle or roll their eyes as I’m picking up like $0.12 in a Wal-Mart parking lot. They’re not laughing any more! after seeing the final count! They really do add up!!
FYI (everyone) - I mentioned this earlier, but I don’t want anyone who guesses earlier to feel “cheated”. The “other” coins were, literally, a handful of coins