From what I understand thrill data is aggregating what Disney posts as their wait times. So this should be a posted vs actual type comparison.
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Agreed. I found this on mousehacking.com :
" I typically use wait time data collected by Thrill-Data.com, and I usually specify the source in each post. This is data collected from the publicly posted Disney World wait times (you can find them in the My Disney Experience app)."
Yeah I’m wondering why TP is so different though
They also use posted wait times for their CL calculation.
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No, TP uses the posted wait times for their “Posted Wait” category, not their calculated Crowd Level. The CL is based on the actual wait times as experienced by actual guests and TP staff at the various attractions that day - for a day that has finished and is in the past. And TP only uses the actual wait times that occur during the busiest time of the day, typically 11 am - 5 pm at only key attractions (not all).
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TP also uses crowd-sourced data. In the app you can enter what your actual wait time was and what the posted wait time was.
Haven’t Disney’s wait times always been inflated? Last time we used Lines it consistenly showed shorter wait times than in MDE.
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Yeah this has been bad for quite some time now. See:
It’s been that bad that Touring Plans has stopped publishing wait time data through their daily blog posts. It was just too confusing with all the different terms like estimated, observed, actual, posted which didn’t line up correctly with the historical TP data. And since the posted times are easy to get accurate data for, TP would just use those numbers and call them the “average wait time”, which is not really right and produced complaints. 
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I think this just returns us to the original concern that many people had with the free genie option. Will Disney suddenly start reporting real wait times or will they send you to Figment?
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Figment.
I plan on totally ignoring Genie
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I’m going to try it just to see what it does, but my real plan will be in TP.
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I expect TP staff will test Genie against their plans too.
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I can’t wait to see the blog posts about that! 
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My trip is the week after Thanksgiving. I’m hoping for more information before we jump into buying G+. It looks like our week is low to moderate crowds, depending on the park, all week.
Agreed!
This was TOTALLY my experience on Saturday. I rode HM twice - posted waits 55, and 50 min. I did time my waits using Lines and they were 18 min and 15 min.
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Ya, I really do not buy this. This is the average posted wait times across WDW by day. This shows the last week randomly spiking and coming close to summer crowd territories.
Today is currently the most crowded day at HS of the entire year…
There is just no way.
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It’s because people are racing to WDW now, before they have to pay for LL.
It’s just a coincidence that it happened when they announced the Genie start date 
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I did TP plans for a few days of our trip. The longest wait listed for my plans is an hour. Most are 30 minutes or less. Now I don’t have a plan for the afternoons, as we may not be in the parks at that time. If that is the case and the TP plans are correct, I don’t think we will need G+. But I’m continuing to monitor and wait and see.
There is a marked advantage in rope drop or very end of day in a few parks right now. I’m wondering if G+ is going to change that.
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