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That’s a dilemma…

I have a prospective trip booked in Aug/Sept for the 30 year anniversary of our first Disney trip together at WL. Was watching a CC studio that was a nice price and lined up perfectly with my cheapo flights, but since we’re in indecision mode about the trip it is gone now. Darn!

I think I might be making an executive decision next time one pops up. :sweat_smile:

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5-night Poly Studio 08/31 for $411/night or 16% under median

TL;DR: I am going to call this price as 99.5% win and very worthy of booking.

Analysis

When comparing to 2-nights or longer in August, last year we saw several listings over the summer in this price neighborhood, but if you filter down to just 5-nights or longer that number drops to a single slightly more expensive rental.

In 2024 about half a dozen comparable 5-night listings appeared at around 50 days out, and a larger group of shorter listings.

It doesn’t look like we are going to return to 2024 levels, so I’d consider last year’s data a more likely indicator.

Because this starts rightbefore* Sept, I also generated a Poly Days Out chart for that month. In that one you can see that $411 is slightly above median for that month, and we saw several lower listings show up as check in date approached - but the few 5-nighters were near 100 and 25 days out.

vs 2-nights or longer

vs 5-nights or longer

BTW: They sure are hitting this date hard!
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THREE COUNT 'EM THREE IDENTICAL PRICE DROPS.
You picks your dates, you takes your chances.

FWIW: These are all “Near Hospitality House” listings.
Also, they are really much better than just 8% under median when comparing apples to apples and filtering to longer stays. They are really like 14% under comparing to 5-nights or longer, 26% vs >=7-nights.

Looking at the Price by Days Out charts - we have almost certainly seen most, if not all lower priced May OKW studios by now, so if you need one, this might be your last chance!
(Right now we are only 19 days out from the first listing below.)

7-night OKW Studio 05/16 orig $263/night now $240/n or 8% under median

7-night OKW Studio 05/17 orig $263/night now $240/n or 8% under median

7-night OKW Studio 05/30 orig $263/night now $240/n or 8% under median

vs 2-nights or longer

vs >=7-nights

Price by Days Out >=2=nights vs 7-nights.

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Just went to check something in my search engine and found that my hosting company went bonkers and somehow started serving a wedding web site on my domain…

Too bad they fixed it, I was about to change their home page image to this:

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I know you’ve previously mentioned using cpanel in this thread, is your hosting provider namecheap? Just happened to come across this: [RESOLVED] CRITICAL SECURITY VULNERABILITY WITH CPANEL/WHM, APRIL 28, 2026 - Namecheap Status and this: https://support.cpanel.net/hc/en-us/articles/40073787579671-cPanel-WHM-Security-Update-04-28-2026 from yesterday. I also noticed from your screenshot that your SSL was throwing an error at the time, which was mentioned on the namecheap page.

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Still handsome after all these years…

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Thanks for the heads up!

Since I just installed a plain vanilla WP install, I haven’t gotten around to kicking in SSL properly yet but I do need to get that done. (Edit: Looking now actually, apparently I did install a proper basic SSL cert. Guess I was just in autopilot mode when I did it at install.)

I use Rochen Hosting, but maybe they were being proactive on the CP vuln. I’ve used Rochen for many years now and they are pretty solid, but the last several years they’ve let their user forums die and rarely post proactive server info which annoys the heck out of me.

For something like yesterday I’ll try to figure out what is happening, end up starting a ticket and they’ll just respond with “Oh yeah, we had to restart that shared server for maintenance”. If they had just posted something in their forum, I wouldn’t have wasted 30 minutes on trying to figure out what was going on.

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Ah, yes, that kind of stuff can happen with shared servers. I choose to believe that DVCSeer was being served to every other site hosted on that machine and you got a very confused, but sharp spike in traffic

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I do, too! I love how they configure their servers and they are totally responsive when I have problems.

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In December, this is a solid price point for any listing - and even more solid-er for a 5-nighter.

TL;DR: If you want a long stay in December, I’d grab this and not expect to get listing lucky with a lower price in the future. Could happen, might not.

If you look at the 2nd Price by Days out chart below which compares data for just 5-nights or longer, you can see that last year (blue dots = 2025) a vast majority of the prices at or below this one happened right at 11 months.

These two listings are about 229 days out now and you can see in that same last chart there was a little flurry of longer listings in the time about 2 weeks from now, then a few much lower randos spaced out as we neared December.

2024 listings for this room in December (green dots) were appearing plentifully throughout the year, but most were for much shorter listings.

5-night OKW Studio 12/14 for $286/night or 8% under median

5-night OKW Studio 12/19 for $286/night or 8% under

vs >=2-nights:

vs >=5-nights

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Totally agree, they respond well.

I just don’t get why back in 2021 or so they decided customer forums weren’t worth using - or have anywhere they post general support and maintenance updates. Is odd.

Yes, very odd. I think that’s happened to me a few times.

This one first appeared this morning and has already dropped $78 in price!

Looking at the Price by Days Out chart for this room, this is almost certainly your shot. hamilton-throw

2-night AK Jambo 1 Bedroom 05/25 orig $546/night now $468/n or 23% under median

This listing vs All Dates - pretty darn good any day of the year.

3 Likes

1-night AK Jambo Studio 06/14 for $252/night or 19% under median


3-night AK Kidani Studio 07/08 for $301/night or 17% under

Might see 1 or a few listings for this room at this price as we get closer to July, but that’s probably it. I would grab this if it worked for me!

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I grabbed the 5/30 one after much hemming and hawing :sweat_smile:

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WTG! That’s an awesome trip.
Have you stayed there before?

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Nope! Will be my first time.

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Woohoo!

Another price drop for this one - First appeared yesterday & has dropped twice for a total of $130! It is now the lowest May multi-night recorded since 2024.

2-night AK Jambo 1 Bedroom 05/25 orig $546/night now $416/n or 32% under median


Very good price for a 1-night filler - and this is a Preferred room!

1-night SSR Studio 05/18 for $240/night or 16% under median

3 Likes