I have added the First Backup Boarding Group (BBG) Time Called to the table.
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You have closing time as 8 am today 
fixed
Really interesting, thanks!
One question, and I apologise if it’s already answered but how big is each boarding group?
Another question, roughly how many BBGs are given out? That is, what is your actual chance of riding if you get a BBG later in the process? This question is based on my (perhaps incorrect??) assumption that the “last” group on the table is the last BG called and not the last BBG distributed.
We don’t know the size of each boarding group. It is possible that the boarding group size changes between days and within a day.
If I was designing the system I would have the boarding groups decrease through the day so the rate of calling boarding groups has less of a chance of slowing down.
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Another unknown. We can see the time the Backup Boarding Groups ends, but we don’t know the last Backup Boarding Group number distributed.
When Backup Boarding Group distribution last longer, could just be a sign that Disney is distributing more Backup Boarding Group.
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Our trip coming up - Jan 19-29. Just got notice from TP that HS is now open at 7 AM every day Jan 20-26…
The virtual queue is a very sneaky way for Disney to camouflage the operations of Rise of the Resistance. When the ride breaks down, they don’t stop calling boarding groups, he rate of calling boarding groups just slow down.
We can see that the initial boarding group varies each day. There is nothing stopping Disney from skipping numbers so it looks like boarding groups are progressing faster. Smaller boarding group sizes would do the same.
We are going to have Touringplans Staff in the park counting people exiting the ride. This is the only way we can determine capacity and reliability.
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I can’t answer your question directly. But I can give you two points of data. Don’t know how helpful they are.
On December 18th, we tapped in at 8:45 and got BBG 119. BBG closed at 9:01 and up to 126 was called.
On December 23rd, we tapped in just about 9 and got BBG 187. BBG closed at 9:27 and up to 192 was called.
Based on our two BBG numbers, the times we got them, and the times BBG closed, I feel that the last BBG called on those dates were the last BBG distributed.
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Just today I found two examples of the virtual queue camouflaging operations.
BG 51 was first called at 11:06.BG 52 was not called until 12:48.
BG 52-69 were called at 1:24, this range did not change until 2:58.
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Just had an email to say that morning emh had changed to evening emh while I’m there on 29th March. Reckon that means it’s a fairly safe bet that boarding groups will be sticking around until at least then.
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Waiting (and hoping?) for an earlier opening, with this info. Right now, March is still at 9am.
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I’ll be perfectly happy with 9am, it’s our first day there. It’ll be hard enough to get my other half in the park for that time after the plane ride the day before. It’d be absolutely impossible to get the teenager there if it wasn’t star wars!
I might just lie about the time difference from the UK!
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Now is a great time to look for slinky fast passes!
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So many numbers! Which ones tell me when they stopped issuing regular boarding passes?
The second to the last column (if you read left to right) Titled Normal Close
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When are they switching to 8:00 am and 9:00 am opening times?
This will be my last edition for about a week. I will wake up in the morning at crisp -4F with snow flurries to board a plane to the happiest place on earth. I will be joining the other runners at La Cava del Tequila the half-marathon.
Thanks @Jeff_AZ and @SteveBloom for all the data. I believe I am as prepared as I can be for this chaotic outpost called Black Spire .
And Hourly average BGs data…(time shifted)
| TIME | MIN | MAX | AVG(All) | AVG(7Day) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0:00 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 11 |
| 1:00 | 13 | 37 | 27 | 29 |
| 2:00 | 13 | 44 | 34 | 38 |
| 3:00 | 14 | 59 | 42 | 50 |
| 4:00 | 19 | 72 | 52 | 60 |
| 5:00 | 30 | 82 | 61 | 71 |
| 6:00 | 37 | 97 | 70 | 80 |
| 7:00 | 43 | 110 | 79 | 86 |
| 8:00 | 50 | 129 | 88 | 95 |
| 9:00 | 58 | 143 | 100 | 109 |
| 10:00 | 59 | 163 | 110 | 120 |
| 11:00 | 65 | 170 | 120 | 132 |
| 12:00 | 67 | 185 | 130 | 142 |
| 13:00 | 80 | 200 | 135 | 147 |
| 14:00 | 82 | 213 | 136 | 147 |
| 15:00 | 82 | 222 | 136 | 147 |
| 16:00 | 82 | 222 | 136 | 147 |
| 16:50 | 82 | 222 | 136 | 147 |
…until the spire.
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Already moved the time up. I have RnRC on the other day - still my fav
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