I’ve been thinking about RotR and the idea that it is unknown what it will do to crowds in HS, at least initially.
I think that is partially true. But there are some predictions I can make as to what it will do. I like making predictions. I particularly like making predictions when I end up being right. And when I’m wrong, I’ll just never bring those instances up again!
- Anyhow, I DO think that we will see an initial influx of folks to ride the new ride, particularly from AP holders.
- I also think that there will be a SLIGHT uptick to number of guests coming to Disney following the initial rush (first week or so), but probably only enough to offset the decline they have seen up to this point. (Disney saw a 3% drop in attendance recently.)
- RotR will place more people in line and on a ride from HS, which may actually improve overall lines for other areas of the park. With a ride that is expected to be 30 minutes, and for it to supplant MFSR as the premier ride in HS, I think it will add, overall, about an hour (roughly speaking) to the time people spend in SWGE.
- The result of this means that the crowds that currently start in SWGE will end up moving on to TSL an hour or so later.
- In addition, I think RotR will shorten RD waits for MFSR significantly, and SDD slightly.
- However, this does mean that after, say, noon, we’ll start to see TSL wait times start to increase from the SWGE guests. This means that while SDD standby times started to drop by noon, I think the SB times for SDD will likely not drop until later in the afternoon by an hour or so more. BUT, it also means it might be a little easier to handle waits in the morning, say an hour or so after RD, in TSL.
- Longer term, I don’t think RotR will have a significant bearing on overall wait times for guests in HS. I think, instead, it will just shift wait times around. Those who will most benefit will be those who don’t plan to do SWGE on a given visit, or who plan to do SWGE late in the day rather than early.
I guess, overall, I just don’t see RotR adding much to crowds over and above what is normal.
We shall see.