We’ll have a blog post out on this shortly.
We think the estimates from the last crowd cal update were incorrectly low, primarily due to a default setting change in the software we use to produce the models. (The setting was changed in a new release of the software, and it changed how the models were produced.)
We knew November’s estimates came in lower than actuals. We spent most of December trying to figure out why, and how to fix it.
We expect to update the calendar on a regular basis going forward. The other things that we’re trying to model now are:
- How many people will delay WDW trips until Galaxy’s Edge opens
- The effect of the discounts Disney’s releasing to combat that
- The potential for the US economy to slow a bit