How to interpret this "gone" data in Lightning Lane availability graphs?

Hello, when looking at historical data for rides with Lightning Lane, there is a graph that shows Lightning Lane availability throughout the day. I noticed there some dates where there is a sudden sharp spike in the data and then the rest of the day is graphed as “gone” (i.e., where availability suddenly runs out super quickly). I also noticed that when his happens, it seems to happen for all rides at the same time. I’m wondering if anyone can help me understand the forces behind this trend? Please see the attached screenshot for an example.

To clarify: I do understand that Lightning Lane return times can run out. But why the sudden sharp spike (as opposed to a gradual distribution across the day, as is often seen on other days), and why does it seem to happen across all rides at the same time of day (as opposed to different rides running out at different times of day, which would seem like the more expected pattern to me)? Something about all that just seems weird to me. Also, I noticed this can happen relatively early in the day even on days where the overall park crowd level is reportedly low (for example, the attached screenshot happened on a day where the crowd level was a “2”), whereas I would expect Lightning Lanes to run out later in the day when there is a smaller crowd (i.e., due to a lower demand on Lightning Lanes overall).

I’ve used Genie+ multiple times in the past, including on days with relatively busy crowds, and I’ve never personally experienced it where Lightning Lanes suddenly run out in the middle of the day, as shown in graphs like this. Are these datasets simple incorrect? Or is this a new pattern in the Lightning Lane data that’s already understood by this community? If so, please shower me with your collective wisdom. Thank you!

Hi, welcome. Where did you get this chart, can you provide a link?

Not sure…but the change in the curve looks like it would be the 1 pm drop.

Sure thing! I believe this particular example chart happened to be from Star Tours on Sunday, June 16, 2024: https://touringplans.com/disneyland/attractions/star-tours?park_day%5Bdate%5D=2024-06-16#charts

But on that same date, you’ll see the same pattern of data for any of the rides with Lightning Lane. Here are a few more examples, from that day…

Buzz Lightyear: https://touringplans.com/disneyland/attractions/buzz-lightyear-astro-blasters?park_day%5Bdate%5D=2024-06-16#charts

Indiana Jones: https://touringplans.com/disneyland/attractions/indiana-jones-adventure?park_day%5Bdate%5D=2024-06-16#charts

Small World: https://touringplans.com/disneyland/attractions/its-a-small-world?park_day%5Bdate%5D=2024-06-16#charts

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Ohh interesting! You mean when park hopper kicks in? If so, isn’t that at 11:00am now?

Admittedly I have no DLR experience, only WDW. But the LL charts for all 4 rides you linked look identical, which seems odd.

Thrilldata shows plenty of availability for Star Tours at DLR going back 30 days. Thrilldata is what I use for predicting LL availability at WDW.

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Ah ha! Thanks so much for sharing this. I’ve been mostly using Touring Plans lately and somehow didn’t think to cross-check against Thrill Data. This is great confirmation that the accuracy of the Lightning Lane data I was looking at on Touring Plans is, indeed, questionable. I’m willing to bet they are simply missing data for some reason on certain dates. It just didn’t pass the sniff test based on my past experiences with Lightning Lanes at Disneyland and it was making me question my strategy for an upcoming trip haha!

Thanks again.

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