There were a couple of similar listings to these for next May that went UP in price after first appearing a week or three ago - so who knows, these might pop back up again.
3-night GF Studio 05/10 orig $459/night now $374/n or 27% under median
5-night GF Studio 05/10 orig $459/night now $374/n or 27% median
5-night Aulani 1 Bedroom 10/08 for $796/night or 24% under median
This is a low volume room in listings for the October time frame. There have only been 223 listings total for Aulani 1BR since 2023. This price is about as low as I’d expect to see, especially for a longer stay like this.
You’ll notice a super low price last year at the same time in the chart below - that was a 2-nighter that appeared about 78 days out from check in.
Do not have time to post individual links, but look on search engine for several new nice listings in August: multi-night CC studios for low $300s, Kidani for ~$255 plus 1-night GF & BC studios both for $288!
Ran an earlier than usual refresh this morning while home waiting for contractors to finish ginormous front yard reconstruction. Some nice Aug price drops for CC and Riv studios, plus a couple of new worthy January listings. Here’s a few:
PRICE DROPS
There are THREE identical listings for this 3-night Riviera, plus another one for $408/nso if you don’t score this one look for the other ones!
3-night Riviera Studio 08/10 orig $459/night now $391/n or 19% under median
6-night CC Studio 08/16 orig $412/night now $343/n or 13% median
Even though 13% under median may sound less good than other listings, CC doesn’t really swing that far below median a lot of the time, so this is really a solid deal.
ESPECIALLY for a 6-nighter. If you look at the 2-night or more chart and have some hope you might see some last minute listings…
I’m holding my breath but also think I’m there (possibly) during a race weekend. We may be staying off site with points if we go. A Disney Springs hotel possibly.
I’m curious how severely this impacts rental availability. Maybe similar number of rentals but on the market fewer days on average? And/or fewer rentals available closer to the dates?
This is not scientific, but based on some of the conversations we have had about these very last minute rentals and the commercial renters, I get the feeling that some of the heavily discounted rentals are availability that gets scooped up at the last minute.
Based on the existing data, my understanding is that most of the rentals never drop in price, they just sit out until they get rented. So I would assume all rentals for November are already existing. But in the last couple weeks it appears to me that the rental companies are using holding points (my guess) to book something available and offer a deal. They can’t do that in November if it’s already mostly booked.
4-night AK Kidani Studio 09/06 for $237/night or 32% under median
Based on past listings in Sept, while you may see a couple of new multi-night listings of this length and around this price or lower as Sept approaches, chances are slim - most seem to show up out at the 7 month window.
Just a casual data observation: It seems the total active rental count downtrend through July/early August is in line with what it’s been like in the past. The only difference is that the count is slightly lower vs this time last summer but significantly lower vs this time during summer 2023.