With the general increase of crowds over the past 10 years or so (along with conflating factors of widely varying staffing/capacity levels and what looks like the much more recent smoothing out of attendance over the calendar year) it seems to many that the almighty “1 to 10” crowd level scale just doesn’t have as much value as it once did.
I appreciate the efforts to better quantify these high level numbers with average wait time metrics, but even those can be hard to really get a handle on without a tremendous amount of per-attraction wait time mapping.
Have Len and his Doughty Crew put much thought into the possibility of estimating actual attendance numbers on a daily (even hourly) basis? And perhaps also estimating staffing/capacity levels (obviously the “ride downtime” numbers are an attempt along these lines)?
When the difference between a “1” crowd level and a “6” crowd level may actually simply be an attendance of 35,000 guests for a “1” and 40,000 guests for a “6”, it would go a long way towards setting expectations on a proper footing and result in overall most satisfaction with crowd calendar predictions. I’ve gotten the strong impression over the years, despite messaging and explanations from TP about what the crowd calendar actually means, that many otherwise sophisticated subscribers still have it in the back of their heads that a crowd calendar of “1” means, or should mean, something like under 10,000 park attendees.
I’m guessing there is either a lack of data to truly generate a reliable estimate along these lines, or existing relationships prevent it from being possible. But it sure would be nice!