My uneducated guess is that things will be back to normal by 2022.
Also, when I first started to plan our first and only Disney trip a little over a year ago, my parameters were 1) at least a year after Star Wars was completed and 2) as low of crowds as possible. As homeschoolers, we prefer to travel when school is in session.
So, I narrowed it down to Jan/Feb 2021 or Sept/Oct 2021. At first I leaned toward to Sept/Oct 2021, but then the 50th anniversary scared me off. The crowds were predicted to be bonkers for the celebration and ‘They’ were saying it would last for months while Disney milked it.
Trouble is that the celebration was supposed to take a lot of prep work and they’ll be getting a late start on that. So, maybe much of the hoopla has been shelved? With some of the hoopla shelved, how much of the crowds will not bother?
Of course, there is a problem with Jan/Feb comparable to your example of all of North Dakota going to Florida. Tour groups from South America coming on their summer vacation. Many groups of 15-year-old girls doing their Quice…(sp?) trip. But, then North Dakota is tiny.
I’ll be hitting my PTO Max in early March. I won’t be the only one.