I’m cleaning and sorting stuff from our December 2019 WDW trip and came across the CLs that were available in TP in the Spring of 2019 that I used to plan our trip. I remember stressing over the CLs as they changed multiple times before our trip. I thought it was an interesting exercise to compare the original projected TP CLs to the actual TP CLs. I laughed and laughed when I compared the original projected CLs with the actual CLs. I hope the post trip laughing counts as stress relief from trip planning! Hope you will perhaps laugh with me
You are cherry picking one of the most volatile weeks of the entire year. The actual CL “less than” projected CL is not a rule.
Besides, CL should not be used to micromanage days but rather to set expectations of your overall experience. CL are useful to pick a week vs another week and maybe to avoid a particularly busy park (maybe due to a festival or something else). CLs are close to useless for pretty much anything else.
A CL10 is almost indistinguishable to CL9 or even CL8. A CL 5 with the wrong plan can feel like a CL10. A CL9 can turn into CL4 because of a heavy rain. CLs capture overall crowd patterns like holidays and vacation days.
Trying to play CL arbitrage is a futile effort.
My personal motto is to plan for the worst, be flexible, and enjoy yourself.