Hurricane Season 2022 & other weather warnings 🐛

Sorry, meant after Thursday.

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You said “Thursday on”

You’re good. I’d read too quickly.

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lowering humidity but raising temps

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I’m here for the incredible sunrises and sunsets! :smiley: :smiley:

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The other day I was driving the kid home from much karate and recalled this photo. Then started working out 16 in binary. Thinking how this was a no brainer in school. :smirk:

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The tropical outlook as of 8 a.m. Saturday, Aug. 6, 2022. (National Hurricane Center)

With the peak of hurricane season approaching the tropics may have woken up from their weeks-long slumber.

The National Hurricane Center on Saturday began projecting the formation a potential tropical system in the eastern Atlantic Ocean as a tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa over this weekend.

“Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual development of this system while it moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic during the early to middle part of next week,” said NHC Hurricane Specialist Brad Reinhart.

As of the NHC’s 8 a.m. tropical outlook, forecasters give the system a 20% chance of formation in the next five days.

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It’s definitely time for me to head home! :grinning:

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(NOAA/National Hurricane Center)

With the peak of hurricane season approaching the tropics may have woken up from their weeks-long slumber.

On Saturday, the National Hurricane Center began projecting the formation a potential tropical system in the eastern Atlantic Ocean as a tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa over this weekend.

The NHC said on Sunday that the tropical wave has moved off the African west coast.

As of the NHC’s 8 a.m. tropical outlook, forecasters give the system a 40% chance of formation in the next five days.

“Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual development of this system while it moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic during the early to middle part of next week,” said NHC Hurricane Specialist Brad Reinhart.

8am EDT Aug 7: A tropical wave has moved off the African west coast. Environmental conditions are generally conducive for gradual development, & this system has a medium chance (40%:orange_circle:) for tropical cyclone development over the next 5 days.

Latest Outlook→https://t.co/m9946DGzPQ pic.twitter.com/i8sgyPYi6y

— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) August 7, 2022

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration just released its mid-season forecast update this week still expecting and above-average number of storms, which it had predicted ahead of the season’s start, with a range of 14 to 21 named storms expected.

The hurricane season, which runs from June 1-Nov. 30, has so far produced three named systems: Tropical Storm Alex, Bonnie and Colin.

The last two years have been among the busiest in recorded history with 2020 producing a record 30 named systems and 2021 running through all 21 of the NHC’s standard hurricane season of named systems.

The next name of the 2022 name list is Danielle. This season, the NHC has had to issue advisories on systems ahead of official naming, referring to what became Tropical Storm Alex, for instance, as Potential Tropical Cyclone One. That un-named system dumped rain on Florida in as it passed over the peninsula in June leaving many parts of Miami under nearly a foot of water.

The NHC has not issued a tropical advisory since Tropical Storm Colin fizzled on July 3.

FWIW, our local team thinks it will curve north.

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That would mean the Carolina’s will be hit?

Not necessarily. It depends how soon it curves north. Hopefully just open ocean.

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Don’t you send that my way :rofl:

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I’m not trying to, that was @amvanhoose :laughing:

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We all need to hold up signs pointing north so it turns as soon as possible!

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:laughing: :rofl: :laughing:

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A tropical wave off the African coast as of 2 a.m. 8/8/22 Monday. (The National Hurricane Center)

After weeks of silence in the tropics, the National Hurricane Center is watching a tropical wave off the coast of Africa.

The season could see the fourth storm of the year as the environment off the coast is looking good for a gradual development of the wave, the NHC said in its 8 a.m. update.

On Monday morning, forecasters gave the system a 20% chance of forming in the next two days and a 40% chance in the next five days. The system is moving west between 15 and 20 mph across the eastern Atlantic and is south of the Cabo Verde islands. Computer models predict the wave to likely become a tropical depression by the middle or end of the week.

Our local ‘casters shared these potential models, the second one showing less development. (ETA: those days are next week)



Also, more dust:

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Everyone, keep pointing north!


Note the prediction in the text box. The projected paths are in general for August storms, not this particular storm, but I thought they were interesting.

Names in the queue:
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And…more dust…

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They stopped looking at it here b/c it was down graded

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