Well I am currently reading 2 threads on Mouseowners all about this very subject, and it isn’t pretty reading
It’s getting harder and harder, with people being shut out of studios at the 11 month window at various resorts including BLT and BRV.
Standard rooms at BLT go very quickly, your chances are not great unless you can walk. I wouldn’t bank on getting one and be prepared to go for a Lake View. We managed to book a Lake View 1 bed at less than 7 months when arranging our last trip over Christmas and New Year. Got Christmas and NY weekends in a Lake View. It was the following 3/4 nights that will as tough.
Honestly I don’t see very many owners posting on here. For DVC info Mouseowners is a fantastic site, lots of advice from people who have owned for many many years. And there are a lot of people who join before taking the plunge and we watch them as they edge towards being owners.