Interesting. It makes me wonder if Disney is limited ADRs on that day more than usual to account for the early arrivals of the MNSSHP guests. That could explain a lower crowd level as well.
alright, in that case I wouldn’t take the CL too seriously.
The old days of a low CL day actually meaning something are long gone. It isn’t uncommon for the CL prediction to be off by 2 or more levels on a regular basis.
CL levels are used best to pinpoint a “good week” over another. They are relative measures. CL are notoriously bad for single day-single park outcomes.
If it’s sold out, then it’s sold out but don’t expect TP to update the CL. In summary, if your vacation is already booked then don’t even look at the CL anymore.
For reference, I’ve been to CL1 and still faced elbow to elbow crowds.