CL predictions 10 months out are, in my opinion, notional numbers. These numbers will change numerous times between now and then. And all it take is another “correction” to the algorithm that TP uses and all bets are off (just ask people who are going in the next few months).
We went that week 4 years ago. The predicted CLs were all 4s and 5s; the actuals were 6s, 7s, and 8s. I was told that week was an “anomaly”. There seem to be a lot of those lately.
I’ve stopped giving much weight to CLs for trip planning; I go when I want to go and deal with whatever CL it happens to be when I get there.
Some people are “guessing” that SWGE may open sometime mid-to-late November; don’t know if that’s a factor or not…